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Meta-Analysis Methods for Neoadjuvant Chemoimmunotherapy for Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer | Oncology | JAMA Oncology | vlog

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Comment & Response
September 26, 2024

Meta-Analysis Methods for Neoadjuvant Chemoimmunotherapy for Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer

Author Affiliations
  • 1Science and Technology Innovation Center, The Fourth People’s Hospital of Jinan, The Teaching Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
  • 2National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Therapy of Gastrointestinal Tumor, Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, China
  • 3Department of Oncology, The Fourth People’s Hospital of Jinan City, The Teaching Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
  • 4Radiotherapy Department of Oncology, The Fourth People’s Hospital of Jinan City, The Teaching Hospital of Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
JAMA Oncol. 2024;10(11):1595-1596. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2024.4211

To the Editor We were interested by a recently published article in JAMA Oncology.1 The meta-analysis included 43 trials containing 8 randomized clinical trials with 5431 patients to compare the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy and neoadjuvant chemotherapy. They found that neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy was superior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy across surgical, pathological, and efficacy outcomes. This is a promising result for neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy, an emerging oncology treatment approach. However, we had some questions about the meta-analysis methods.

First, in the statistical analysis section, the authors did not indicate how to evaluate the heterogeneity on the I2 value but mentioned that “For each analysis, we included the 95% CIs, I2 statistic, τ2 statistic, and χ2; all tests were 2-sided, and a P < .05 was considered significant unless otherwise indicated.”1 To set a P value of less than .05 in the I2 statistic as the heterogeneity judgment is not recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration. Chapter 10.10.2 in the Cochrane Handbook (version 6.3) said that the χ2 test must be interpreted cautiously because it has low power in the (common) situation of a meta-analysis when studies have a small sample size or are few in number. A P value of .10, rather than the conventional level of .05, is sometimes used to determine statistical significance because a statistically significant result may indicate a problem with heterogeneity, and a nonsignificant result must not be taken as evidence of no heterogeneity.2 In the meta-analysis, it may miss heterogeneity detection because some outcomes by subgroup were pooled for analysis with a small sample size.

1 Comment for this article
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Who Can Properly Assess the Validity of a Clinical Trial?
Takeshi Takehashi, M.D, Ph.D | Kitakyushu city
Assessing the efficacy of adjuvant and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (AC&NAC) through clinical trials presents challenges related to endpoint selection and trial design. This issue is prevalent across various cancers, including lung, breast, colorectal, and bladder cancers, particularly in cases where surgery is intended to be curative. Overall survival (OS) measures survival duration rather than cure rates, complicating the evaluation process as there are currently no standardized endpoints or study designs available. [1-3]

Another complication arises in cases where surgery alone can lead to a cure. For lung cancer, the cure rate ranges from 30% to 50%, while for breast cancer,
it can reach 80%, depending on the disease stage. In these instances, the absence of micrometastases means that AC&NAC may be irrelevant or necessitate exclusion from trials. Given that nearly 50% of certain cancer cases can be effectively treated with surgery alone, this dramatically reduces the sample size for trials, adversely affecting statistical confidence and increasing the margin of error.

Furthermore, the systemic therapies used for AC&NAC should ideally enhance the curative effect of surgery. They should target micrometastases to eliminate remaining cancer cells. However, apart from cisplatin for testicular cancer, no such effective drugs exist for most solid tumors. Immune checkpoint inhibitors are not expected to provide these effects.

Publication bias has led to the broad dissemination of positive trial results, despite ambiguous metrics and considerable margins of error. This bias has influenced the formulation of guidelines recommending AC&NAC.

These trials and guidelines are mainly authored by experts in cancer treatment, who may lack the expertise to critically assess clinical trial validity. Additionally, they may face indirect conflicts of interest, as their professional focus is on treating cancer patients. As a result, these guidelines often prioritize expert opinion and consensus over rigorous evidence.

REFERENCE
1. Olivier T, Haslam A, Prasad V. Postrecurrence Treatment in Neoadjuvant or Adjuvant FDA Registration Trials: A Systematic Review. JAMA Oncol. 2024 Aug 1;10(8):1055-1059. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2024.1569.

2. Takahashi T. Study-design of adjuvant chemotherapy for lung cancer: A cart before the horse. Ann Thorac Surg. 2024 Apr 13:S0003-4975(24)00285-6. doi: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2024.03.039.

3. Takahashi T. Comments on "Survival after neoadjuvant/induction combination immunotherapy versus combination platinum-based chemotherapy for locally advanced (Stage III) urothelial cancer". Int J Cancer. 2022 Nov 15;151(10):1847-1848. doi: 10.1002/ijc.34206.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None Reported
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